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According to the latest analysis, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell may take a more cautious stance at this year's Jackson Hole Annual Economic Policy Symposium than last year. Noted economists point out that Powell is likely to avoid making clear statements, neither adopting a tough hawkish position nor leaning towards a dovish stance favoring easing, but instead maintaining a neutral wait-and-see posture.
This prediction is based on the current complex economic situation. If inflation and employment data exceed expectations before the Fed's September policy meeting, the Fed may be more cautious in formulating monetary policy. This indicates that the Fed is closely monitoring changes in economic indicators to ensure that its policy decisions can respond promptly to market trends.
Powell's cautious stance reflects the uncertainty of the current economic environment. The Fed faces the challenge of seeking a balance between controlling inflation and maintaining economic growth. The remarks at this year's Jackson Hole meeting will provide important clues for market participants, helping to understand the future policy direction of the Fed.
As the global economic situation continues to evolve, all sectors will closely watch Powell's statements and the potential next steps the Fed may take. This not only relates to the development trajectory of the U.S. economy but will also have far-reaching implications for global financial markets.