Why No XRP Big Rally After Case Ended: See What Will Trigger Next Bull Run

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Last week, Ripple and the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission jointly moved to dismiss their appeals in the Second Circuit, formally ending the legal battle that began in December 2020. The court filing removed a major regulatory overhang for XRP, but the market response since the announcement has been muted.

After an initial advance to $3.38, the digital asset has since declined, briefly losing the crucial $3 threshold that many traders see as a key support level.

XRP Army Weighs In

The end of the lawsuit produced a price uptick that exceeded 10% from the prior session, but XRP did not sustain those gains. Within days, the token traded back under $3, mirroring its decline from early August. This prompted questions among investors about why the formal conclusion of the lawsuit did not lead to a significant rally. Observers have shared multiple potential explanations for the digital asset’s underperformance.

Expectations Were Largely Priced In

Following Donald Trump’s election victory in late 2024 and the announcement of former SEC Chair Gary Gensler’s resignation, XRP went on a historic run, rising over 500% between November 2024 and January 2025.

The dismissal of the appeal appears to have fulfilled market expectations rather than created new ones, leaving limited additional upside once the news became public. This contrasts with the July 2023 court ruling, which many market participants perceived as an unexpected clarification that XRP was not a security. That decision produced an immediate, large intraday move.

What Will Trigger the Next XRP Price Bull Run

Humphries emphasized that legal clarity alone is unlikely to drive sustained appreciation without tangible increases in real-world usage. He highlighted the need for institutional adoption, including integrations by U.S. banks and deployment of tokenization services to financial counterparties, before price momentum can be expected to continue.

Ripple has pursued partnerships and product development aimed at those outcomes for some time, but the market has yet to respond materially to those efforts. Despite the tepid short-term reaction, some market analysts maintain bullish long-term forecasts for XRP, with targets ranging from the low double digits to levels as high as $50 or more.

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